Harrisburg, PA – As Thanksgiving approaches, residents across the Mid-Atlantic region—spanning Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Maryland—may need to set aside hopes for an early winter snowfall. Recent forecasts from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) suggest that this November will be warmer and mostly dry, reducing the likelihood of snow before the holiday.
While many traditionally anticipate the first flakes of the season in late November, current projections indicate that the Mid-Atlantic is far more likely to experience mild, travel-friendly weather through much of the month.
Stable Warmth Across the Region
According to NOAA’s temperature outlook issued on October 24, 2025, the region is expected to see above-normal temperatures with only average or below-average precipitation levels. This pattern supports a continuation of mild fall days rather than an early winter chill.
- States included: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Maryland
- Temperature trend: Above normal
- Precipitation trend: Average or below average
- Expected weather: Mild, dry conditions with low snow chances ahead of Thanksgiving
Potential for Late-November Flurries
Forecasters remain cautious, noting that a few cold fronts could push down from the Great Lakes late in the month. These fronts might bring chilly rain and some mountaintop flurries in central Pennsylvania, particularly near Thanksgiving week.
“While no major snow systems are expected this month, the weather pattern can change quickly as we move closer to winter,” noted the experts at NOAA.
For those eager to see snow, the possibility remains slim but not impossible, making early December a more promising timeframe for a wintry scene.
What This Means for Thanksgiving Travel
The forecast suggests that people traveling through the Mid-Atlantic this Thanksgiving can expect generally mild and dry conditions. This reduces the risk of weather-related travel disruptions, allowing for a smoother holiday journey.
For more detailed updates on this evolving weather situation, visit the original outlook here.
Read Also: Texas Faces Tornadoes and Flash Flooding Threat as Severe Storms Sweep Southern Plains
Looking Ahead to Winter
Although an early white Thanksgiving appears unlikely, fall residents should stay prepared for increasingly colder conditions as December approaches. The arrival of snow and typical winter storms may still be just around the corner in the Mid-Atlantic region.
Share Your Thoughts
What do you think about this warm November forecast? Are you hoping for an early snowfall or a mild Thanksgiving? Share your thoughts in the comments below!

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